6th AgMIP Global Workshop Agenda

SUMMARY PROGRAM ABSTRACTS SPONSORS PRESENTATIONS

Updated June 21, 2016

Tues. June 28
8:00 – 9:00	Check in and packet pick up
9:00 – 9:30	Introduction from AgMIP Steering Council Co-Chair – Jean-Francois Soussana Welcome from Montpellier Partners – B. Hubert (Agropolis International), A. Vidal (CGIAR), P. Caron (Cirad), F. Houllier (Inra) Pasteur Auditorium
9:30 – 10:00	Introduction from AgMIP Steering Council Co-Chair – Ghassem Asrar Plenary: AgMIP Overview – AgMIP PIs Cynthia Rosenzweig, James Jones, John Antle Pasteur Auditorium
10:00 – 10:30	Coffee Break
10:30 – 12:00	Plenary: Coordinated Global and Regional Assessments (CGRA) Assessment protocols; future scenarios; implementation plan; cross-scale and cross-discipline linkages; connections between food security and nutrition metrics Keynote – Mark Rosegrant Panel – Jessica Fanzo, Mario Herrero, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Senthold Asseng Facilitator – Cynthia Rosenzweig
12:15 – 12:30	Group Workshop Photo
12:30 – 2:00	Buffet Lunch – self organized groups
2:00 – 3:30	Parallel Session 1: Four concurrent sessions organized of15 min oral presentations
	1.1 Seasonal Forecasts and Climate Extremes Chair: Alex Ruane	1.2 Crop Model Improvement Chair: Frank Ewert	1.3 Developing Adaptation Strategies Chair: Roberto Valdivia	1.4 Climate Change Assessments Chair: Delphine Deryng
2:00	Past and future weather-induced risk in crop production – Joshua Elliott	Inter-comparison of crop models for simulating canola growth and yield – Enli Wang	Developing adaptation packages for West African agriculture while ensuring congruence with climate and RAPs – Ibrahima Hathie	Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity – Delphine Deryng
2:15	Dynamic seasonal climate forecast driven probabilistic maize yield prediction over East Africa – Ronald Hutjes	Lessons learned from evaluating apsim and dssat maize model responses to carbon dioxide, temperature, water, and nitrogen – Ken Boote	Designing and assessing adaptation strategies to face challenges of climate change: Insights from Indo-Gangetic Plains of India – Harbir Singh	Impacts of soil data uncertainty on crop yield estimates in a global gridded crop model – Christian Folberth
2:30	Interdisciplinary and cross-scales agroclimatic assessment across The U.S. corn belt: what have we learnt? – Xing Liu	Who has the ‘best’ crop model? – Senthold Asseng	Exploring adaptations to variable and changing climates for smallholder mixed crop livestock systems in semi-arid Zimbabwe – Sabine Homann-Kee Tui	An integrated assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation in smallholder crop-livestock systems in Kenya – Lieven Claessens
2:45	Forecasting effects of weather extremes: El Nino’s influence maize yields in Mexico – Gideon Kruseman	Global gridded crop model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications – Christoph Müller	Integrated assessments in irrigated agriculture linking crop and hydrological models: the case of central Chile – Francisco Meza	Towards a 21st Century Climate Service for small-holder farmers in Zimbabwe: Definition of the climate problem – Elisha N Moyo
3:00	Integrated assessment of drought and adaptation scenario impacts on crop production in Austria – Hermine Mitter	The uncertainty cross-cutting theme – Daniel Wallach	Developing and assessing adaptation strategies against climate vulnerability in cotton wheat cropping system of Punjab, Pakistan – Muhammad Ashfaq	Economic analysis of climate impact and adaptation for the dryland wheat system in the US Pacific Northwest – Hongliang Zhang
3:15	Multiple crop model ensembles for improving broad-scale yield prediction with bayesian model averaging – Xiao Huang	Parameterization induced uncertainty of the epic model to estimate climate change impact on global maize yield – Yong He	Incremental crop management adaptations to climate change: an integrated assessment for European agriculture – Heidi Webber	Management outweighs climate change on affecting length of rice growing period for early rice and single rice in China during 1991-2012 – Xuhui Wang
3:30 – 4:00	Coffee Break
4:00 – 5:00	Parallel Session 1 Continued: Four concurrent sessions organized of15 min oral presentations
	1.5 Stakeholders and Decision Support Chair: Amy Sullivan	1.6 Remote Sensing, Land-use, and Scaling Chair: Wiltrud Durand	1.7 Wheat Model Intercomparison Chair: Pierre Martre	1.8 Livestock and Grasslands Chair: K. Descheemaeker
4:00	EUROCLIMA Biophysical Modelling, for policy support on agriculture and climate change in Latin America and the Caribbean – Maurits van den Ber	Soil data aggregation effects in regional yield simulations – Holger Hoffmann	Improved modelling of wheat processes through inter-comparison of multiple models –Enli Wang	Large scale impacts of grazing management under climate change – Susanne Rolinski
4:15	Impact of climate change on West Africa’s agriculture: a mid-century assessment of the major economic outcomes for smallholder farmers – Ibrahima Hathie	The AgMIP Coordinated Climate Crop Modeling Project (C3MP) – differences in climate response across 1100+ crop modeling sets – Alex Ruane	Prediction of the rate of development and anthesis date using QTL-based parameters of an ecophysiological model for durum wheat – Pierre Martre	Impact of climate change on the livestock component of mixed farming systems: modelling evidence from regional integrated assessments across sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia – Katrien Descheemaeker
4:30	Nation-wide interdisciplinary assessments of climate change impacts on agriculture and food security – Hideki Kanamaru	Integrated crop model uses remote sensing data to simulate crop growth and carbon flux data – Jonghan Ko	Designing wheat ideotypes for a changing climate – Mikhail Semenov	(CANCELLED) Modeling nitrogen dynamics including leaching in intensive crop rotations on productive organic-sandy soils after the break-up of grassland – Andrea Hoffmann
4:45	Co-production of knowledge for agricultural adaptation: using climate information and crop model outputs in the wine industry and the maipo adaptation plan – Francisco Meza	Using Earth observation and ancillary data sources as alternative to household surveys for regional integrated assessments for maize production in the Free state of South Africa – Wiltrud Durand	Model improvements reduce the uncertainty of wheat crop model ensembles under heat stress – Andrea Maiorano	Assessing simulation models for field scale projections of pasture GHG emissions and yields – Jean-François Soussana
5:00 – 6:00	Afternoon Plenary Session: Co-Developed Research with Stakeholders stakeholder engagement, participatory stakeholder research methods, climate change scenarios and adaptations, and facilitating research results uptake. Keynote – Amy Sullivan Panel – Wei Xiong, Boubacar Barry, Francisco Meza Facilitator – John Antle
6:00 – 7:00	Poster Session
7:00 – 8:00	Reception Dinner

Wednesday June 29
8:30 – 9:30	Morning Plenary 1: Modeling for Sustainable Farming Systems methodological package to evaluate agricultural systems and sustainable solutions in conjunction with national adaptation planning. Keynote – Patricia Masikati Panel – Marc Corbeels, Rob Vos, Marco Springmann, Myriam Adam Facilitator – Peter Craufurd
9:30 – 10:30	Morning Plenary 2: Next-generation Tools and Open Data open, discoverable, and harmonized data; model improvement; online tools to improve awareness and access to research results. Keynote – Molly Jahn Panel – Susan Capalbo, Joshua Elliott, Medha Devare, Sibiry Traore, Bruno Basso Facilitator – Stan Wood
10:30 – 11:00	Coffee Break
11:00 – 12:30	Parallel Session 2: Four concurrent sessions organized of15 min oral presentations
	Session 2.1 – Scenarios and RAPs Chair: John Antle	Session 2.2 – Nutrition and Food Security Chair: Jess Fanzo	Session 2.3 – Biophysical Impacts of Climate Change Chair: Sonali McDermid	Session 2.4 – Soils and Crop Damage Chair: Bruno Basso
11:00	Developing National Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) – Reflections, lessons and outcomes from high level stakeholder consultations in India – Nataraja Subash	Developing a value chain analysis framework to examine the health and environmental trade-offs of dietary patterns: A case study of the Mediterranean diet – Shauna Downs	What would happen to wheat production in cotton-wheat cropping zone of Punjab under mid century scenario? – Ashfaq Ahmad Chatta	Accounting for the legacy of soil and crop management when assessing climate change impact on crop production – Bruno Basso
11:15	Development of a Climate –Sensitive Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) for West Africa: Stakeholder Interactions – Ibrahima Hathie	Global and regional health impacts of future food production under climate change: a modelling study – Marco Springmann	Climate change impacts on crop yield in Koutiala, Mali – Myriam Adam	Soil/land quality and health modeling within RASLEV framework in conditions of Russia agroecosystems – Ivan Vasenev
11:30	Developing Representative Agricultural Pathways: Experiences and Learning across four sites in India – Harbir Singh	Food System Metrics for Quantifying Nutrition and Sustainability Outcomes – Jessica Fanzo	Sensitivity of current spring barley production system to climate change – Davide Cammarano	Pathways to Nitrogen’s Planetary Boundary – David Kanter
11:45	Representative Agricultural Pathways for Europe – Anne Biewald	Interactions between environmental change, agriculture, nutrition and health: an evidence-based framework – Hanna Tuomisto	Wheat yield potential in europe under climate change explored by adaptation response surfaces – Roberto Ferrise	Impacts of crop rotation, extreme weather events, crop growth and residue management on soil organic carbon content – Anne Gobin
12:00	New methods for exploring future farms with stakeholders: the experience of AGMIP’s crop livestock intensification project in semi-arid Zimbabwe – Sabine Homann-Kee Tui	An Income-Based Food Security Indicator for Agricultural Technology Impact Assessment – Roshan Adhikari	Towards Coordinating Assessments of Environmental Sustainability in Agricultural Systems for SDG2 – Sonali McDermid	Modeling intercropping with cereals in smallholder agrosystems. From lessons learned in central Brazil to their application in the Peanut Basin in Senegal – Alpha Bocar Baldé
12:15	Process for the development of representative agricultural pathways for cotton wheat cropping system in Punjab, Pakistan – Muhammad Ashfaq	Discussion	Making climate data useful for decision makers at the local scale: the case of Nkayi district, Zimbabwe – Olivier Crespo	Soil organic matter and sensitivity to climate change. Can we disentangle correlation and causation? – Jean-François Soussana
12:30– 2:00	Buffet Lunch – self organized groups
2:00 – 3:30	Parallel Session 2 Continued: Four concurrent sessions organized of 15 min oral presentations.
	Session 2.5 – Crop Model Improvement and Genetics Applications Chair: Enli Wang	Session 2.6 – Global Economics and Integrated Assessments Chair: H. Lotze-Campen	Session 2.7 – Regional Integrated Assessments Chair: Muhammed Ashfaq	Session 2.8 Information Technologies and Data Chair: Cheryl Porter
2:00	Toward Next Generation Gene-based Crop Models: Implications on Experiments, Data, Modeling, and Modularity – James W. Jones	From SSPs to global RAPs – a conceptual framework – Hermann Lotze-Campen	Climate Change Impact on the productivity of crops in smallholder systems in West Africa: The case of Navrongo, Ghana and Nioro, Senegal – Dilys MacCarthy	An integrated interdisciplinary modelling system of climate change impacts on agriculture in support of adaptation planning: MOSAICC – Kanamaru
2:15	High-throughput phenotyping platform reveals genetic variability and quantitative trait loci of light-related parameters in maize models – Chen	Climate change stabilization and the global agricultural sector under alternative future development scenarios – Havlik	Reducing vulnerability to climate change in semi-arid Zimbabwe: a multi-model approach for redesigning smallholder farming futures – Sabine Homann-Kee Tui	The Akkerweb platform: models and data to support precision farming – van Evert
2:30	A basic approach to predicting yields and optimizing inputs using artificial neural networks – Koch	Dynamic economic model of arable crop rotation – McFarlane	(Cancelled) Impact of climate change on irrigated maize in Tamil Nadu, Southern India – Vellingiri	Enhancing Discoverability and Re-use of CGIAR’s Agricultural Data: Challenges and Progress – Medha Devare
2:45	Importance of crop management for simulating crop phenology in large scale impact assessments – Eyshi Rezaei	Intensification and production reallocation: Attributing land-use changes to their underlying drivers – Brunelle	Assessment of Climate sensitivity to present production system and evaluation of use of adaptation strategies to improve the livelihood security of small and marginal farmers of Indo-Gangetic Plains of India – A multi-crop-climate-economic modeling approach – Subash	DataMill: a new application to interface researchers’ database with crop models – Adam
3:00	Assessing agricultural practices in highly variable environments: SARRA-H spatialized crop model for West Africa – Christian Baron	Alternative Futures for Global Food and Agriculture – Martin von Lampe	Evaluating Crop Models for Use with Economic Models in Integrated Assessment – John Antle	Interlinked data and models using a semantic approach: an example of the RECORD platform in the context of the ANAEE-France project – Helene Raynal
3:15	Improved functions for simulating crop water use are necessary to simulate the impact of [CO₂] on maize yields – Jean-Louis Durand	A simple recursive dynamic long-term agricultural sector model – Marcel Adenauer	Future Climate Change and Its Effect on Maize Yields in Selected Semi-arid Areas of Southern Africa – Weldemichael Tesfuhuney	Application of AgMIP data interoperability standards to the US National Agricultural Research Data Network for Harmonized Data (NARDN-HD) – Cheryl Porter
3:30 – 4:00	Coffee Break
4:00 – 5:00	Afternoon Plenary: Toward multi-national collaborative frameworks to enable coordinated global and regional assessments New institutional arrangements and capabilities to enable a community of coordinated global and regional researchers in assessments of future agricultural systems and the alleviation of hunger. Panel – Claire Weill, Alain Vidal, Terry Nipp, Heather Mckhann, Harry Clark (remote participation) Facilitator– Jean-Francois Soussana
5:00 – 6:30	Poster viewing with beverage refreshment

Thursday June 30
9:00 – 10:30	Morning Plenary: Observations and Recommendations in Planning Keynote – perspectives from AgMIP Steering Council Co-Chairs Jean-Francois Soussana and Ghassem Asrar Panel Discussion – panel discussion and responses from AgMIP PIs Cynthia Rosenzweig, James Jones, and John Antle
10:30 – 11:00	Coffee Break
11:00 – 12:30	Session 3: Regional Breakout Groups – regional and national assessments in context of global impacts, shocks, and trends
3.1 South Asia		3.5 East Asia/Oceania
3.2 Sub-Saharan Africa		3.6 Europe
3.3 Latin America and Caribbean		3.7 Global Agriculture
3.4 North America		3.8 Global Economics
12:30 – 2:00	Buffet Lunch – self organized groups
2:00 – 4:00	Work Group Breakouts
4.1 Global Economics		4.6 Data, Decision Support Systems and IT
4.2 AgGRID		4.7 Crop Modeling of Low-Input Smallholder Systems
4.3 Seasonal Estimates, Data Assimilation, and Climate Shocks		4.8 Sustainable Nutrition Security
4.4 Regional Integrated Assessments		4.9 Crop-Water-ET
4.5 Crop Model Intercomparison and Improvement (various groups)		4.10 Livestock-Grasslands
4:00 – 4:30	Coffee Break
4:30 – 5:00	Plenary: Highlights from Regional and Working Team Breakouts
5:00 – 6:00	Synthesis and Wrap-up