6th AgMIP Global Workshop Program


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Updated June 21, 2016

Tues. June 28


8:00 – 9:00

Check in and packet pick up

9:00 – 9:30

Introduction from AgMIP Steering Council Co-Chair – Jean-Francois Soussana
Welcome from Montpellier Partners – B. Hubert (Agropolis International), A. Vidal (CGIAR), P. Caron (Cirad), F. Houllier (Inra) Pasteur Auditorium

9:30 – 10:00

Introduction from AgMIP Steering Council Co-Chair – Ghassem Asrar
Plenary: AgMIP Overview – AgMIP PIs Cynthia Rosenzweig, James Jones, John Antle Pasteur Auditorium

10:00 – 10:30

Coffee Break

10:30 – 12:00

Plenary: Coordinated Global and Regional Assessments (CGRA) Assessment protocols; future scenarios; implementation plan; cross-scale and cross-discipline linkages; connections between food security and nutrition metrics
Mark Rosegrant
Panel Jessica Fanzo, Mario Herrero, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Senthold Asseng
– Cynthia Rosenzweig

12:15 – 12:30

Group Workshop Photo

12:30  – 2:00

Buffet Lunch – self organized groups

2:00 – 3:30

Parallel Session 1: Four concurrent sessions organized of15 min oral presentations


1.1 Seasonal Forecasts and Climate Extremes
Chair: Alex Ruane

1.2 Crop Model Improvement
Chair: Frank Ewert

1.3 Developing
Adaptation Strategies

Chair: Roberto Valdivia

1.4 Climate Change

Chair: Delphine Deryng


Past and future weather-induced risk in crop production
– Joshua Elliott

Inter-comparison of crop models for simulating canola growth and yield
– Enli Wang

Developing adaptation packages for West African agriculture while ensuring congruence with climate and RAPs
– Ibrahima Hathie

Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity
– Delphine Deryng


Dynamic seasonal climate forecast driven probabilistic maize yield prediction over East Africa – Ronald Hutjes

Lessons learned from evaluating apsim and dssat maize model responses to carbon dioxide, temperature, water, and nitrogen
– Ken Boote

Designing and assessing adaptation strategies to face challenges of climate change: Insights from Indo-Gangetic Plains of India – Harbir Singh

Impacts of soil data uncertainty on crop yield estimates in a global gridded crop model
– Christian Folberth


Interdisciplinary and cross-scales agroclimatic assessment across The U.S. corn belt: what have we learnt? – Xing Liu

 Who has the ‘best’ crop model?
– Senthold Asseng

Exploring adaptations to variable and changing climates for smallholder mixed crop livestock systems in semi-arid Zimbabwe
– Sabine Homann-Kee Tui

An integrated assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation in smallholder crop-livestock systems in Kenya – Lieven Claessens



Forecasting effects of weather extremes: El Nino’s influence maize yields in Mexico
– Gideon Kruseman

Global gridded crop model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications
– Christoph Müller

Integrated assessments in irrigated agriculture linking crop and hydrological models: the case of central Chile
– Francisco Meza

Towards a 21st Century Climate Service for small-holder farmers in Zimbabwe: Definition of the climate problem
– Elisha N Moyo


Integrated  assessment of drought and adaptation scenario impacts on crop production in Austria
– Hermine Mitter

The uncertainty cross-cutting theme
– Daniel Wallach

Developing and assessing adaptation strategies against climate vulnerability in cotton wheat cropping system of Punjab, Pakistan
– Muhammad Ashfaq

Economic analysis of climate impact and adaptation for the dryland wheat system in the US Pacific Northwest
– Hongliang Zhang


Multiple crop model ensembles for improving broad-scale yield prediction with bayesian model averaging
– Xiao Huang

Parameterization induced uncertainty of the epic model to estimate climate change impact on global maize yield – Yong He

Incremental crop management adaptations to climate change: an integrated assessment for European agriculture
– Heidi Webber

Management outweighs climate change on affecting length of rice growing period for early rice and single rice in China during 1991-2012
– Xuhui Wang

3:30 – 4:00

Coffee Break

4:00 – 5:00

Parallel Session 1 Continued: Four concurrent sessions organized of15 min oral presentations


1.5 Stakeholders and Decision Support
Chair: Amy Sullivan

1.6 Remote Sensing, Land-use, and Scaling
Chair: Wiltrud Durand

1.7 Wheat Model

Chair: Pierre Martre

1.8 Livestock and

K. Descheemaeker


EUROCLIMA Biophysical Modelling, for policy support on agriculture and climate change in Latin America and the Caribbean
– Maurits van den Ber

Soil data aggregation effects in regional yield simulations  – Holger Hoffmann

Improved modelling of wheat processes through inter-comparison of multiple models
–Enli Wang

Large scale impacts of grazing management under climate change – Susanne Rolinski


Impact of climate change on West Africa’s agriculture: a mid-century assessment of the major economic outcomes for smallholder farmers
– Ibrahima Hathie

The AgMIP Coordinated Climate Crop Modeling Project (C3MP) – differences in climate response across 1100+ crop modeling sets
– Alex Ruane

Prediction of the rate of development and anthesis date using QTL-based parameters of an ecophysiological model for durum wheat
– Pierre Martre

Impact of climate change on the livestock component of mixed farming systems: modelling evidence from regional integrated assessments across sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia
– Katrien Descheemaeker


Nation-wide interdisciplinary assessments of climate change impacts on agriculture and food security – Hideki Kanamaru

Integrated crop model uses remote sensing data to simulate crop growth and carbon flux data – Jonghan Ko

Designing wheat ideotypes for a changing climate  – Mikhail Semenov

(CANCELLED) Modeling nitrogen dynamics including leaching in intensive crop rotations on productive organic-sandy soils after the break-up of grassland
– Andrea Hoffmann


Co-production of knowledge for agricultural adaptation: using climate information and crop model outputs in the wine industry and the maipo adaptation plan
– Francisco Meza

Using Earth observation and ancillary data sources as alternative to household surveys for regional integrated assessments for maize production in the Free state of South Africa
– Wiltrud Durand

Model improvements reduce the uncertainty of wheat crop model ensembles under heat stress  – Andrea Maiorano

Assessing simulation models for field scale projections of pasture GHG emissions and yields  – Jean-François Soussana

5:00 – 6:00

Afternoon Plenary Session: Co-Developed Research with Stakeholders stakeholder engagement, participatory stakeholder research methods, climate change scenarios and adaptations, and facilitating research results uptake.
Keynote – Amy Sullivan
Panel – Wei Xiong, Boubacar Barry, Francisco Meza 
Facilitator – John Antle

6:00 – 7:00

Poster Session

7:00 – 8:00

Reception Dinner


Wednesday June 29


8:30 – 9:30

Morning Plenary 1: Modeling for Sustainable Farming Systems methodological package to evaluate agricultural systems and sustainable solutions in conjunction with national adaptation planning.
– Patricia Masikati     
– Marc Corbeels, Rob Vos, Marco Springmann, Myriam Adam     
– Peter Craufurd

9:30 – 10:30

Morning Plenary 2: Next-generation Tools and Open Data open, discoverable, and harmonized data; model improvement; online tools to improve awareness and access to research results.
Keynote – Molly Jahn
Panel – Susan Capalbo, Joshua Elliott, Medha Devare, Sibiry Traore, Bruno Basso
Facilitator – Stan Wood

10:30 – 11:00

Coffee Break

11:00 – 12:30

Parallel Session 2: Four concurrent sessions organized of15 min oral presentations


Session 2.1 – Scenarios and RAPs
Chair: John Antle

Session 2.2 – Nutrition and Food Security 
Chair: Jess Fanzo

Session 2.3 – Biophysical Impacts
of Climate Change

Chair: Sonali McDermid

Session 2.4 – Soils and Crop Damage
Chair: Bruno Basso


Developing National Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) – Reflections, lessons and outcomes from high level stakeholder consultations in India
– Nataraja Subash

Developing a value chain analysis framework to examine the health and environmental trade-offs of dietary patterns: A case study of the Mediterranean diet
– Shauna Downs

What would happen to wheat production in cotton-wheat cropping zone of Punjab under mid century scenario?
– Ashfaq Ahmad Chatta

Accounting for the legacy of soil and crop management when assessing climate change impact on crop production
– Bruno Basso


Development of a Climate –Sensitive Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) for West Africa: Stakeholder Interactions – Ibrahima Hathie

Global and regional health impacts of future food production under climate change: a modelling study
– Marco Springmann

Climate change impacts on crop yield in Koutiala, Mali – Myriam Adam

Soil/land quality and health modeling within RASLEV framework in conditions of Russia agroecosystems
– Ivan Vasenev


Developing Representative Agricultural Pathways: Experiences and Learning across four sites in India – Harbir Singh

Food System Metrics for Quantifying Nutrition and Sustainability Outcomes – Jessica Fanzo

Sensitivity of current spring barley production system to climate change – Davide Cammarano

Pathways to Nitrogen’s Planetary Boundary
– David Kanter


Representative Agricultural Pathways for Europe – Anne Biewald

Interactions between environmental change, agriculture, nutrition and health: an evidence-based framework
– Hanna Tuomisto

Wheat yield potential in europe under climate change explored by adaptation response
surfaces – Roberto Ferrise

Impacts of crop rotation, extreme weather events, crop growth and residue management on soil organic carbon content
– Anne Gobin


New methods for exploring future farms with stakeholders: the experience of AGMIP’s crop livestock intensification project in semi-arid Zimbabwe
– Sabine Homann-Kee Tui

An Income-Based Food Security Indicator for Agricultural Technology Impact Assessment
– Roshan Adhikari

Towards Coordinating Assessments of Environmental Sustainability in Agricultural Systems for SDG2 – Sonali McDermid

Modeling intercropping with cereals in smallholder agrosystems. From lessons learned in central Brazil to their application in the Peanut Basin in Senegal
– Alpha Bocar Baldé


Process for the development of representative agricultural pathways for cotton wheat cropping system in Punjab, Pakistan
– Muhammad Ashfaq


Making climate data useful for decision makers at the local scale: the case of Nkayi district, Zimbabwe – Olivier Crespo

Soil organic matter and sensitivity to climate change. Can we disentangle correlation and causation?
– Jean-François Soussana

12:30– 2:00

Buffet Lunch – self organized groups

2:00 – 3:30

Parallel Session 2 Continued: Four concurrent sessions organized of 15 min oral presentations.


Session 2.5 – Crop Model Improvement and Genetics Applications
Chair: Enli Wang

Session 2.6 – Global Economics and Integrated Assessments
H. Lotze-Campen

Session 2.7 – Regional
Integrated Assessments

Chair: Muhammed Ashfaq

Session 2.8 Information
Technologies and Data

Chair:  Cheryl Porter


Toward Next Generation Gene-based Crop Models: Implications on Experiments, Data, Modeling, and Modularity – James W. Jones

From SSPs to global RAPs – a conceptual framework
– Hermann Lotze-Campen

Climate Change Impact on the productivity of crops in smallholder systems in West Africa: The case of Navrongo, Ghana and Nioro, Senegal – Dilys MacCarthy

An integrated interdisciplinary modelling system of climate change impacts on agriculture in support of adaptation planning: MOSAICC – Kanamaru


High-throughput phenotyping platform reveals genetic variability and quantitative trait loci of light-related parameters in maize models – Chen

Climate change stabilization and the global agricultural sector under alternative future development scenarios
– Havlik

Reducing vulnerability to climate change in semi-arid Zimbabwe: a multi-model approach for redesigning smallholder farming futures – Sabine Homann-Kee Tui

The Akkerweb platform: models and data to support precision farming – van Evert


A basic approach to predicting yields and optimizing inputs using artificial neural networks – Koch

Dynamic economic model of arable crop rotation – McFarlane

(Cancelled) Impact of climate change on irrigated maize in Tamil Nadu, Southern India – Vellingiri

Enhancing Discoverability and Re-use of CGIAR’s Agricultural Data: Challenges and Progress – Medha Devare


Importance of crop management for simulating crop phenology in large scale impact assessments
– Eyshi Rezaei

Intensification and production reallocation: Attributing land-use changes to their underlying drivers
– Brunelle

Assessment of Climate sensitivity to present production system and evaluation of use of adaptation strategies to improve the livelihood security of small and marginal farmers of Indo-Gangetic Plains of India – A multi-crop-climate-economic modeling approach
– Subash

DataMill: a new application to interface researchers’ database with crop models – Adam


Assessing agricultural practices in highly variable environments: SARRA-H spatialized crop model for West Africa
– Christian Baron

Alternative Futures for Global Food and Agriculture
– Martin von Lampe

Evaluating Crop Models for Use with Economic Models in Integrated Assessment – John Antle

Interlinked data and models using a semantic approach: an example of the RECORD platform in the context of the ANAEE-France project
– Helene Raynal


Improved functions for simulating crop water use are necessary to simulate the impact of [CO2] on maize yields
– Jean-Louis Durand

A simple recursive dynamic long-term agricultural sector model – Marcel Adenauer

Future Climate Change and Its Effect on Maize Yields in Selected Semi-arid Areas of Southern Africa
– Weldemichael Tesfuhuney

Application of AgMIP data interoperability standards to the US National Agricultural Research Data Network for Harmonized Data (NARDN-HD) – Cheryl Porter

3:30 – 4:00

Coffee Break

4:00 – 5:00

Afternoon Plenary:  Toward multi-national collaborative frameworks to enable coordinated global and regional assessments
New institutional arrangements and capabilities to enable a community of coordinated global and regional researchers in assessments of future agricultural systems and the alleviation of hunger.
Panel – Claire Weill, Alain Vidal, Terry Nipp, Heather Mckhann, Harry Clark (remote participation)      
Facilitator– Jean-Francois Soussana

5:00 – 6:30

Poster viewing with beverage refreshment


Thursday June 30


9:00 – 10:30

Morning Plenary: Observations and Recommendations in Planning
perspectives from AgMIP Steering Council Co-Chairs Jean-Francois Soussana and Ghassem Asrar
Panel Discussion
– panel discussion and responses from AgMIP PIs Cynthia Rosenzweig, James Jones, and John Antle

10:30 – 11:00

Coffee Break

11:00 – 12:30

Session 3: Regional Breakout Groups regional and national assessments in context of global impacts, shocks, and trends

3.1 South Asia

3.5 East Asia/Oceania

3.2 Sub-Saharan Africa

3.6 Europe

3.3 Latin America and Caribbean

3.7 Global Agriculture

3.4 North America

3.8 Global Economics

12:30 – 2:00

Buffet Lunch – self organized groups

2:00 – 4:00

Work Group Breakouts

4.1 Global Economics

4.6 Data, Decision Support Systems and IT

4.2 AgGRID

4.7 Crop Modeling of Low-Input Smallholder Systems

4.3 Seasonal Estimates, Data Assimilation, and Climate Shocks

4.8 Sustainable Nutrition Security

4.4 Regional Integrated Assessments

4.9 Crop-Water-ET

4.5 Crop Model Intercomparison and Improvement (various groups)

4.10 Livestock-Grasslands

4:00 – 4:30

Coffee Break

4:30 – 5:00

Plenary: Highlights from Regional and Working Team Breakouts

5:00 – 6:00

Synthesis and Wrap-up