AgMIP6 Global Workshop Presentations

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See below for links to available pdfs of presentations from the AgMIP6 Global Workshop and side sessions.

Monday June 27

Morning Side Sessions

European Impact Assessment (MACSUR/CROPM)

AgMIP Impacts Explorer

Coordinated Global and Regional Assessments (CGRA)

Afternoon Side Sessions

AgMIP RRT Session

AgGRID / GGCMI

AgMIP-Wheat & EWG WPCM Satellite Meeting



Tuesday June 28

Welcome and Overview

   AgMIP6 Overview and Welcome

Plenary: Coordinated Global and Regional Assessments (CGRA)

   Keynote – Mark Rosegrant

   Panel – Jessica Fanzo

   Panel – Mario Herrero

   Panel – Hermann Lotze-Campen

   Panel – Senthold Asseng

Parallel Session 1

1.1 Seasonal Forecasts and Climate Extremes

   Past and future weather-induced risk in crop production – Joshua Elliott

   Dynamic seasonal climate forecast driven probabilistic maize yield prediction over East Africa – Ronald Hutjes

   Interdisciplinary and cross-scales agroclimatic assessment across The U.S. corn belt: what have we learnt? – Xing Liu

   Forecasting effects of weather extremes: El Nino’s influence maize yields in Mexico – Gideon Kruseman

   Integrated assessment of drought and adaptation scenario impacts on crop production in Austria – Hermine Mitter

    Multiple crop model ensembles for improving broad-scale yield prediction with bayesian model averaging – Xiao Huang

1.2 Crop Model Improvement

    Inter-comparison of crop models for simulating canola growth and yield – Enli Wang

    Lessons learned from evaluating apsim and dssat maize model responses to carbon dioxide, temperature, water, and nitrogen – Ken Boote

    Who has the ‘best’ crop model? – Senthold Asseng

   Global gridded crop model evaluation: benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications – Christoph Müller

   The uncertainty cross-cutting theme – Daniel Wallach

    Parameterization induced uncertainty of the epic model to estimate climate change impact on global maize yield – Yong He

1.3 Development Adaptation Strategies

    Developing adaptation packages for West African agriculture while ensuring congruence with climate and RAPs – Ibrahima Hathie

    Designing and assessing adaptation strategies to face challenges of climate change: Insights from Indo-Gangetic Plains of India – Harbir Singh

    Exploring adaptations to variable and changing climates for smallholder mixed crop livestock systems in semi-arid Zimbabwe – Sabine Homann-Kee Tui

    Integrated assessments in irrigated agriculture linking crop and hydrological models: the case of central Chile – Francisco Meza

    Developing and assessing adaptation strategies against climate vulnerability in cotton wheat cropping system of Punjab, Pakistan – Muhammad Ashfaq

    Incremental crop management adaptations to climate change: an integrated assessment for European agriculture – Heidi Webber

1.4 Climate Change Assessments

    Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity – Delphine Deryng

    Impacts of soil data uncertainty on crop yield estimates in a global gridded crop model – Christian Folberth

    An integrated assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation in smallholder crop-livestock systems in Kenya – Lieven Claessens

    Towards a 21st Century Climate Service for small-holder farmers in Zimbabwe: Definition of the climate problem – Elisha N Moyo

   Economic analysis of climate impact and adaptation for the dryland wheat system in the US Pacific Northwest – Hongliang Zhang

    Management outweighs climate change on affecting length of rice growing period for early rice and single rice in China during 1991-2012 – Xuhui Wang

1.5 Stakeholders & Decision Support

    EUROCLIMA Biophysical Modelling, for policy support on agriculture and climate change in Latin America and the Caribbean – Maurits van den Ber

    Impact of climate change on West Africa’s agriculture: a mid-century assessment of the major economic outcomes for smallholder farmers – Ibrahima Hathie

    Nation-wide interdisciplinary assessments of climate change impacts on agriculture and food security – Hideki Kanamaru

    Co-production of knowledge for agricultural adaptation: using climate information and crop model outputs in the wine industry and the maipo adaptation plan – Francisco Meza

1.6 Remote Sensing, Land-use, Scaling

    Soil data aggregation effects in regional yield simulations – Holger Hoffmann

    The AgMIP Coordinated Climate Crop Modeling Project (C3MP) – differences in climate response across 1100+ crop modeling sets – Alex Ruane

    Integrated crop model uses remote sensing data to simulate crop growth and carbon flux data – Jonghan Ko

    Using Earth observation and ancillary data sources as alternative to household surveys for regional integrated assessments for maize production in the Free state of South Africa – Wiltrud Durand

1.7 Wheat Model Intercomparison

    Improved modelling of wheat processes through inter-comparison of multiple models – Enli Wang

    Prediction of the rate of development and anthesis date using QTL-based parameters of an ecophysiological model for durum wheat – Pierre Martre

    Designing wheat ideotypes for a changing climate – Mikhail Semenov

    Model improvements reduce the uncertainty of wheat crop model ensembles under heat stress – Andrea Maiorano

1.8 Livestock & Grasslands

    Large scale impacts of grazing management under climate change – Susanne Rolinski

   Impact of climate change on the livestock component of mixed farming systems: modelling evidence from regional integrated assessments across sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia – Katrien Descheemaeker

    Assessing simulation models for field scale projections of pasture GHG emissions and yields – Jean-François Soussana

Plenary: Co-Developed Research with Stakeholders (CGRA)

   Keynote – Amy Sullivan

   Panel – Wei Xiong

   Panel – Boubacar Barry

   Panel – Francisco Meza



Wednesday June 29

Welcome

   Day 2 Welcome

Plenary: Modeling for Sustainable Farming Systems

   Keynote – Patricia Masikati

   Panel – Marc Corbeels

   Panel – Rob Vos

   Panel – Marco Springmann

   Panel – Myriam Adam

Plenary: Next-generation Tools and Open Data

   Facilitator – Stan Wood

   Keynote – Molly Jahn

   Panel – Susan Capalbo

   Panel – Joshua Elliott

   Panel – Medha Devare

   Panel – Sibiry Traore

   Panel – Bruno Basso

Parallel Session 2

2.1 Scenarios & RAPs

    Developing National Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) – Reflections, lessons and outcomes from high level stakeholder consultations in India – Nataraja Subash

   Development of a Climate –Sensitive Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) for West Africa: Stakeholder Interactions – Ibrahima Hathie

    Developing Representative Agricultural Pathways: Experiences and Learning across four sites in India – Harbir Singh

    Representative Agricultural Pathways for Europe – Anne Biewald

   New methods for exploring future farms with stakeholders: the experience of AGMIP’s crop livestock intensification project in semi-arid Zimbabwe – Sabine Homann-Kee Tui

   Process for the development of representative agricultural pathways for cotton wheat cropping system in Punjab, Pakistan – Muhammad Ashfaq

2.2 Nutrition and Food Security

   Developing a value chain analysis framework to examine the health and environmental trade-offs of dietary patterns: A case study of the Mediterranean diet – Shauna Downs

   Global and regional health impacts of future food production under climate change: a modelling study – Marco Springmann

   Food System Metrics for Quantifying Nutrition and Sustainability Outcomes – Jessica Fanzo

   Interactions between environmental change, agriculture, nutrition and health: an evidence-based framework – Hanna Tuomisto

   An Income-Based Food Security Indicator for Agricultural Technology Impact Assessment – Roshan Adhikari

2.3 Biophysical Impacts of Climate Change

    What would happen to wheat production in cotton-wheat cropping zone of Punjab under mid century scenario? – Ashfaq Ahmad Chatta

   Climate change impacts on crop yield in Koutiala, Mali – Myriam Adam

   Sensitivity of current spring barley production system to climate change – Davide Cammarano

   Wheat yield potential in europe under climate change explored by adaptation response surfaces – Roberto Ferrise

   Towards Coordinating Assessments of Environmental Sustainability in Agricultural Systems for SDG2 – Sonali McDermid

   Making climate data useful for decision makers at the local scale: the case of Nkayi district, Zimbabwe – Olivier Crespo

2.4 Soils & Crop Damage

   Accounting for the legacy of soil and crop management when assessing climate change impact on crop production – Bruno Basso

   Soil/land quality and health modeling within RASLEV framework in conditions of Russia agroecosystems – Ivan Vasenev

   Pathways to Nitrogen’s Planetary Boundary – David Kanter

   Impacts of crop rotation, extreme weather events, crop growth and residue management on soil organic carbon content – Anne Gobin

   Modeling intercropping with cereals in smallholder agrosystems. From lessons learned in central Brazil to their application in the Peanut Basin in Senegal – Alpha Bocar Baldé

   Soil organic matter and sensitivity to climate change. Can we disentangle correlation and causation? – Jean-François Soussana

2.5 Crop Model Improvement & Genetic Apps

   Toward Next Generation Gene-based Crop Models: Implications on Experiments, Data, Modeling, and Modularity – James W. Jones

    High-throughput phenotyping platform reveals genetic variability and quantitative trait loci of light-related parameters in maize models – Tsu-Wei Chen

    A basic approach to predicting yields and optimizing inputs using artificial neural networks – Paul Koch

    Importance of crop management for simulating crop phenology in large scale impact assessments – Ehsan Eyshi Rezaei

   Assessing agricultural practices in highly variable environments: SARRA-H spatialized crop model for West Africa – Christian Baron

   Improved functions for simulating crop water use are necessary to simulate the impact of [CO2] on maize yields – Jean-Louis Durand

2.6 Global Economics and Integrated Assessments

    From SSPs to global RAPs – a conceptual framework – Hermann Lotze-Campen

    Climate change stabilization and the global agricultural sector under alternative future development scenarios – Petr Havlik

    Dynamic economic model of arable crop rotation – Ian McFarlane

    Intensification and production reallocation: Attributing land-use changes to their underlying drivers – Thierry Brunelle

    Alternative Futures for Global Food and Agriculture – Martin von Lampe

    A simple recursive dynamic long-term agricultural sector model – Marcel Adenäuer

2.7 Regional Integrated Assessments

    Climate Change Impact on the productivity of crops in smallholder systems in West Africa: The case of Navrongo, Ghana and Nioro, Senegal – Dilys MacCarthy

    Reducing vulnerability to climate change in semi-arid Zimbabwe: a multi-model approach for redesigning smallholder farming futures – Sabine Homann-Kee Tui

    Assessment of Climate sensitivity to present production system and evaluation of use of adaptation strategies to improve the livelihood security of small and marginal farmers of Indo-Gangetic Plains of India – A multi-crop-climate-economic modeling approach – Nataraja Subash

    Evaluating Crop Models for Use with Economic Models in Integrated Assessment – John Antle

    Future Climate Change and Its Effect on Maize Yields in Selected Semi-arid Areas of Southern Africa – Weldemichael Tesfuhuney

2.8 Information Technologies and Data

    An integrated interdisciplinary modelling system of climate change impacts on agriculture in support of adaptation planning: MOSAICC – Hideki Kanamaru

    The Akkerweb platform: models and data to support precision farming – Frits van Evert

    Enhancing Discoverability and Re-use of CGIAR’s Agricultural Data: Challenges and Progress – Medha Devare

   DataMill: a new application to interface researchers’ database with crop models – Myriam Adam

   Interlinked data and models using a semantic approach: an example of the RECORD platform in the context of the ANAEE-France project – Helene Raynal

    Application of AgMIP data interoperability standards to the US National Agricultural Research Data Network for Harmonized Data (NARDN-HD) – Cheryl Porter

Plenary: Toward multi-national collaborative frameworks to enable coordinated global and regional assessments

   Panel – Claire Weill

   Panel – Alain Vidal

   Panel – Terry Nipp

   Panel – Heather Mckhann

   Panel – Harry Clark (remote participation)



Thursday June 30

   Welcome Day 3

Plenary: Steering Council Feedback

   Keynote – perspectives from AgMIP Steering Council Co-Chairs Jean-Francois Soussana and Ghassem Asrar

Regional Breakouts

   Regional Breakouts Report Back

   3.1 South Asia

   3.2 Sub-Saharan Africa

   3.3 Latin America and Caribbean

   3.4 North America

   3.5 East Asia/Oceania

   3.6 Europe

   3.7 Global Agriculture

   3.8 Global Economics

Workgroup Breakouts

   4.1 Global Economics

   4.2 AgGRID

   4.3 Seasonal Estimates, Data Assimilation, and Climate Shocks

   4.4 Regional Integrated Assessments

   4.5 Crop Model Intercomparison and Improvement (various groups)

   4.6 Data, Decision Support Systems and IT

   4.7 Crop Modeling of Low-Input Smallholder Systems

   4.8 Sustainable Nutrition Security

   4.9 Crop-Water-ET

   4.10 Livestock-Grasslands

   Pest and Diseases Model Intercomparison



Friday July 1

Morning Side Sessions

Nutrition Group

   Nicole Darmon

   Fabrice DeClerck

   Adam Drewnowski

   Dave Gustafson

   Marco Springmann

   Hans van Meiji

AgMIP Soil and Crop Rotation Phase 2

Calibration

Afternoon Side Sessions

CGRA Part 2

Ozone Modeling

   Ozone Group Workshop Report

   Lisa Emberson

   Yuji Masutomi

   Giovanni Cappelli

   Frank Dentener

   Lisa Emberson Introduction