Global Economics Team Meeting – Washington DC, Nov. 2014

Around 25 members and partners of the AgMIP Global Economics team met in Washington DC in November 2014, immediately following the meetings of the Energy Modeling Forum (EMF) and the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC). The purpose of the meeting was to share updates on recent work by the various participating modeling groups and plan future work. The meeting was hosted by IFPRI and supported by funds from the US Department of Agriculture through a contract with the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR).

A subgroup of five modeling teams who are working on scenarios for a USDA-led study on climate change and food security (Rome workshop summary) reported on their findings and publication plans. Other groups, coordinated by the IAMC, are working on further development of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), including “marker scenarios”, forthcoming in early 2015. A discussion of consistency between these and various Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) will inform selection of scenarios for subsequent work planned by the Global Economics Team. The team also discussed the need for further clarification of Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs), and options for data management, model comparison and improvement, and funding.

The team will meet next during the annual AgMIP Global Workshop in Gainesville, Florida in February 2015 to finalize plans for phase 2, including specification of scenarios and selection of GCMs and crop models, with the goal of working towards a thematically focused special issue of a journal in 2016 and eventual contributions to IPCC AR6.

Contact: Keith Wiebe (k.wiebe@cgiar.org)