Video profile – Indo-Gangetic Basin Regional Research Team

The Indo-Gangetic Basin research team is one of seven regional research teams across Africa and Southern Asia working to provide scientifically rigorous and relevant agricultural information to stakeholders and decision makers. These Regional Research Teams, following the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Protocols for Regional Integrated Assessments, are at the forefront of agricultural research.

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AgMIP at AGU 2016

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By Yurong Yu

The American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting 2016 brings together the Earth and space science community from across the globe for discussions of emerging trends and the latest research. The technical program includes presentations on new and cutting-edge science, much of which has not yet been published. The meeting sessions are held at San Francisco, California, from 12 to 16, December.

AgMIP will organize two sessions this year on December 16. The sessions, “Improving the Simulation of Climate Impacts on Agriculture: AgMIP and Related Research I Posters & II,” (Session I & Session II) will include presentations and posters on the topics of “climate change and variability,” “agricultural systems,” “impacts of global change” and “land/atmosphere interactions.” Twenty-seven papers in total will be presented in these two sessions.

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AgMIP Town Hall at AGU

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Those of you who will be attending the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting in San Francisco this month are invited to please join us at the AgMIP Town Hall event on Tuesday, December 13th, at 6:10pm in Moscone West 2016.

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Presentation of FAO “The State of Food and Agriculture 2016”

By Yurong Yu, AgMIP Intern

State of Food and Agriculture - Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security

How does climate change affect food security and agriculture? What can governments; farmers and food producers do to build resilience against the impacts of a changing climate? How should agriculture reduce greenhouse gas emissions to help stop global warming?

The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) held a discussion on November 1st 2016 in New York to examine these questions and present their new report “State of Food and Agriculture – Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security.” Cynthia Rosenzweig, the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Co-PI and Halldor Thorgeirsson, Director for Strategy, UN Framework Convention on Climate Change led the discussion. The hosts included the Permanent Missions of France, Indonesia and Morocco to the United Nations. The presentation by Rob Vos, Director, Agricultural Development Economics (ESA), Economic and Social Development Department, FAO, was held the same week as the Paris Agreement on climate change took effect and days before the 22nd Conference of Parties of the UNFCCC in Morocco.

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AgMIP Rice Team Meeting in China

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Group Photo of the December 2016 AgMIP-Rice Team Meeting

The AgMIP research approach includes two tracks of activities. Track one focuses on model intercomparison and improvement for calibrating and evaluating models for use in different regions and crops. Track two encompasses multi-model assessments of climate change effects on food production and food security at regional to global scales. As part of the Track One initiatives, the AgMIP-Rice crop modeling team has been holding periodic meetings to provide an opportunity for the international rice modeling community to come together and improve tools needed to model rice production for future sustainability.

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RAPs and Scenarios Workshop in Zimbabwe

How can scenarios inform the future of farming in Zimbabwe?

By Sabine Homann-Kee Tui

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Stakeholders from district to national scales in Zimbabwe met with AgMIP researchers on revising pathways that reflect trade-offs between environmental priorities and fast economic growth, useful for decision makers thinking about the future of farming in Zimbabwe. Photo: S Homann-Kee Tui

On the 25-26, October 2016 the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) South Eastern Africa Regional Team held a workshop titled “Future scenarios to inform decision making processes: National Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) for Zimbabwe” at the ICRISAT Bulawayo office in Zimbabwe. The team is conducting research that aims at understanding climate change impacts on agriculture and prioritizing effective adaptation strategies.

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Article: Ensembles for Crop Modeling

Lessons from Climate Modeling on the Design and Use of Ensembles for Crop Modeling

By Yurong Yu, AgMIP Intern

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Daniel Wallach, lead author of Climatic Change article.

An important recent development in crop modeling is the use of model ensembles. The recently published article “Lessons from Climate Modeling on the Design and Use of Ensembles for Crop Modeling” in Climatic Change by Wallach et al., identified questions and approaches related to crop model ensembles, based on the experience of the climate modeling community. The benefits of this method not only include better estimates of uncertainty, but also improved predictions and closer collaboration within the modeling community. However there are numerous open questions about the best way to create and analyze such ensembles.

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AgMIP Activities at ASA
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The American Society of Agronomy, Crop Science Society of America, and Soil Science Society of America will host more than 4,000 scientists, professionals, educators, and students at ASA 2016 International Annual Meeting, “Resilience Emerging from Scarcity and Abundance,” on Nov. 6-9 and AgMIP research is being featured in several sessions.

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Coming Soon: AgMIP Impacts Explorer

Understanding current and future adaptations in agriculture

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Sample info-graphic from Impacts Explorer prototype.

The AgMIP Impacts Explorer (prototype in development) is an interactive web tool that will make project outcomes available to stakeholders and offer them support to explore and understand results for policy planning and decision making. To achieve this, the tool links text on regional case studies in Africa and Asia, and interactive data visualizations, in a user friendly interface. The Impacts Explorer project, with support from DFID UK aid, is planning on releasing a working prototype in 2017.

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AgMIP6 Global Workshop Summary

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AgMIP has been developing this interdisciplinary research, or integrated assessments, of agricultural systems since 2010. Led out of Columbia University, the University of Florida, and Oregon State University, with major funding from UK Aid, AgMIP is comprised of an international community of scientists and stakeholders. The community, motivated by a desire to improve the state of food security research and then translate that into effective policy, periodically comes together at AgMIP Global Workshops to share new protocols, research results and plans for future collaborations.

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